中環孫老師 Mr. Central Official

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孫老師說財經｜房價上天，經濟落地，房地產將成為中國經濟的墓碑。中國經濟已經成為困死居民的復活節島。

全球經濟進入收縮通道，各經濟體內部消耗開始加劇。中國由於深度捲入全球產業鏈，將受到全球經濟蕭條的直接影響。雖然進入經濟內耗階段，但是中國人依然熱衷炒樓，熱衷於談論早已脫離實際的房價。這就好像當年復活節...

2020-06-11 11:26:08 有 188,631 人看過有 3,938 人說讚

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孫老師說財經｜地攤經濟能救中國嗎？經濟拉美化，社會尋租化，地攤經濟將加速中國底層社會的崩潰

地攤經濟的概念最近在中國被炒熱。中國政府一改過去禁止擺攤的做法，鼓勵老百姓擺攤做生意。這說明在中國經濟斷崖式下跌的情況下，政府缺乏應對策略，只能任由民間經濟自生自滅。在中國這樣一個高度尋租化、群氓化的...

2020-06-08 13:31:42 有 89,063 人看過有 2,173 人說讚

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孫老師說財經｜港幣保衛戰即將開打：國安法黑雲壓城，聯繫匯率能堅守幾時？港幣如與美元脫鉤，內地經濟還挺得住嗎？

隨著國安法的緊逼、美國制裁的迫近，香港聯繫匯率成為各界的疑問。聯繫匯率會不會失守？香港是資金從中國內地流向海外的最重要的通道，也是洗錢、藏錢的據點之一。如果香港失去了聯繫匯率和港幣的自由流動，就意味著...

2020-06-04 14:17:00 有 103,761 人看過有 2,259 人說讚

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孙老师说财经｜留给香港的时间不多了：一国两制寿终正寝？香港金融还能撑多久？联系汇率还能撑多久？

香港版国安法最近引起轩然大波。由于历史和现实的多种原因，香港今天必然成为中国与外部世界、以及党内不同派别斗争的核心。香港战场化、金融中心政治化，这两方面会从根本上动摇香港存在的基础。香港现在暂时得以保...

2020-05-29 16:15:51 有 121,883 人看過有 2,843 人說讚

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孙老师说财经｜韭菜大收割开始！房地产税，现金管理，外汇管制组成镰刀矩阵，韭菜已无处可逃？

几乎每一年中国的两会前后，房地产税的话题都会引起热议。不过，今年对于房地产税的讨论语境，和往年有很大不同。房地产税配合已经推出的大额现金管理、数字货币，形成了一张密不透风的网，其主要目的，就是为了能够...

2020-05-25 13:52:56 有 164,598 人看過有 2,514 人說讚

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孙老师说财经｜看透中美经济战真相：表面是经贸战争，背后是阶级利益与代理人之战，最后结果可能出乎你的预料

中美贸易争端进入微妙的阶段，中国公布了对美关税排除清单，但在外交上却态度十分强硬。这种矛盾的现象显示出中美之间不同利益集团的博弈日趋白热化。从历史发展和利益格局的角度出发，可以看出，中美贸易战本质上是...

2020-05-21 19:57:45 有 210,739 人看過有 4,116 人說讚

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孙老师说财经｜满清亡于股灾，历史会重演吗？

中国历史上，清朝的崩溃和民国的建立，和晚清的最后一场股灾有直接关系。晚清时代，巨额的赔款、高额的外债，让清帝国的财政负担变得空前沉重，清政府也在暗中进行企业国有化的阴谋，所有的这些因素加在一起，酿成了...

2020-05-16 14:35:54 有 84,735 人看過有 1,967 人說讚

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孙老师说财经｜绕不开的人口悬崖，从人口结构看中国未来的经济趋势

B站的“后浪”演说视频引起广泛讨论。“前浪”大肆讨好年轻人，这就说明他们已经预感到了危机。中国的年轻劳动力出现了断层的可能，同时面临老龄化和低生育率的中国，有可能会跌下“人口悬崖”。目前中国处于人口红...

2020-05-11 18:00:11 有 142,984 人看過有 3,251 人說讚

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孙老师说财经｜中国房地产七宗罪：继续沉迷炒房将永远没有出路，制造研发与制度创新才是发展经济之道

中国内地的房产近期稍有回暖，不少投资客又重燃炒房热情。中国人对于房地产投资的执著，是一个很值得讨论的经济现象。这一方面是由于中国政府的土地财政绑架了国民经济，但根源上也和中国传统的小农基因有密切联系。...

2020-05-05 17:48:50 有 133,835 人看過有 2,419 人說讚

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孙老师说财经｜从“保六”到“六保”，中国人的苦日子就要来了！

中国经济从去年的“保六”变成今年的“六保”，经济目标日趋保守，这说明中国政府已经感受到了国际环境的变化和巨大的经济压力。近日，中国内地又破天荒的公布了相对比较真实的失业率统计，估计失业人口高达7000...

2020-04-27 08:30:14 有 171,867 人看過有 2,370 人說讚